COVID much less killer than the flu? Not but
Statistical knowledge makes it doable to check the impression of the Covid-19 pandemic with pneumonia and influenza.
©ALAIN JOCARD / AFP
Impression of variants
False claims have lengthy circulated in regards to the Covid-19 pandemic, together with that the flu was extra harmful.
“COVID is much less harmful than the flu, and kills much less”, “omicron is a chilly”.
We now have all learn these assertions that are false, and we’ll attempt to present it.
Let’s begin with the truth that COVID is much less harmful than the flu. That is clearly false, we now have by no means seen, aside from the Spanish flu, a seasonal flu killing 150,000 individuals over 2.5 years. By no means.
To help this, it’s doable to review this text printed on English knowledge.
They in contrast COVID deaths towards these associated to influenza and pneumonia, we’ll see that this evolves in response to the variants, vaccination, time and age.
So on common within the context of this comparability with the flu and pneumonia, Covid-19 can have killed:
– these below 40: 16 instances extra
– 40-59 yr olds: 32 instances extra
– 60-79 yr olds: 32 instances extra
– 80 years and over: 16 instances extra
COVID kills greater than flu and pneumonia.
The utmost is reached initially of the pandemic and in the course of the circulation of the Delta variant.
Amongst these aged 80 and over, we see that since Omicron, the mortality figures are just like the flu. That is linked to a number of results: harvest impact, vaccination, extra deadly flu on this age group, and so on.
Because the article states, “deaths from COVID-19 have been greater than deaths from influenza and pneumonia in yearly since 1929.”
We are able to additionally take a look at the evolution of the median age, watch out this isn’t the typical, it signifies that there have been as many deaths for individuals older and youthful than this median worth.
We are able to see the autumn within the median age in the course of the interval of the Delta variant, which was extra deadly, and whereas the vaccination marketing campaign was being rolled out.
It will also be seen that it impacts males greater than girls and at an earlier age.
So in conclusion, the COVID shouldn’t be the flu and it kills extra for 2 years than the annual flu since 1929.
Influenza for which we now have a vaccine with variable effectiveness; so get vaccinated for COVID too.
Let’s go to the final assertion : “Omicron is a chilly”
If we take the primary graphs we will see that the Omicron wave is extra deadly than the flu. The examine interval ends in March 2022.
So if the Omicron wave is extra deadly than the flu, is it extra deadly than a chilly?
Let us take a look at another knowledge:
Over the primary 9 months of the yr, COVID can have killed greater than 30,000 individuals in France. There too it’s greater than a chilly or the seasonal flu.
We are going to see that as a consequence of many parameters together with the deployment of vaccination, the recall, the harvest impact, that is altering.
On this animation evaluating the situations and danger of March 2020 with the unique variant which primarily affected the oldest and most weak individuals, we are actually in a scenario nearer to the chance of influenza. Nonetheless, the flu considerations an annual wave, the COVID generates a number of waves.
However this may change at any time relying on the variant in circulation and the incidence. This animation dates from August 2022. For the reason that omicron BA.5 wave has affected the US (inhabitants thought of) and COVID once more kills extra individuals than the flu.
So in the long run, COVID shouldn’t be a chilly, it isn’t the flu, even for the Omicron variant, the evolution of the chance of dying is multifactorial and subsequently fluctuating.
Eager to make this type of comparability doesn’t add something to the efficient measures to be taken:
– vaccination and booster
– the event of vaccines that greatest match the variants in circulation
– epidemiological monitoring / sequencing and flash surveys
– sporting a masks in excessive density locations and in transport
– air flow and air high quality
– adaptation and anticipation of important intervals
#COVID #killer #flu